Obama Goes All In and more
Virtually all the analysis that has followed in the wake of the president’s announcement of support for same-sex marriage has noted it is risky. (Gee – coming the day after North Caroline soundly defeated it, ya think?) Some are quick to point out that there are liberal religious types out there that think this is a good thing.
My initial reaction reaction, like that of Dan Gilgoff, was that all it really did was seal the deal between Romney and social cons; which at first blush is a loser. There is increasing evidence that those that opposed him so vehemently in the primary are rallying. This move seems to provide impetus to the rally.
Karl @ Hot Air sees this move as right in line with the Obama strategy:
What yesterday’s elections may have told Team Obama is that the bitter clingers out there are bitter enough to give 41% of the Democrat vote in West Virginia to a convicted felon and to ease a ban on same-sex marriage into the North Carolina constitution. They may have concluded that their energies are better spent targeting more socially liberal white college graduates in the suburbs of northern Virginia, Philadeplphia, Denver, etc. than wasting time on trying to persuade Rust Belt Jacksonians to pull the lever for Barack Obama again while (as Allahpundit suggests) considering discontent among socially conservative African-Americans an acceptable risk now. The establishment’s mockery of Obama’s unevolved position may have suggested to Team Obama that painting Mitt Romney as a right-wing extremist is made more difficult when the president shares Romney’s position on SSM.
There is some sense there – it’s a move to build separation. But on an issue that is a loser virtually every time it is put directly to the people, like just happened in North Carolina? Well, yeah, when that is all you have.
Obama cannot talk about the economy, national security or foreign policy. In those places he is a known loser – there is his entire administration to date to prove it. Social issues are all he has, and he knows they are Romney’s weak point. Have we forgotten Stephanoupolis’ obvious briefing from the White House on contraception pre-debate in a clear effort to put social issues on the table in the primary and help Santorum over Romney?
It should also be remembered that Prop 8 branded same-sex marriage as a “Mormon” issue and this is a subtle reminder to the electorate that his opponent is a member in good standing of that particular church. Not to mention that his base is so incensed over Prop 8 that they resorted to violence in the wake of its passage aimed specifically at the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints.
There are still a lot of people out there that want to make an issue out of Romney’s faith.
There is also the fact early on that Obama said he would not mind being a one-term president if it aided his policies in the long run. Maybe he has figured out he is doomed and thrown all caution to the wind in order to retire to a life of liberal stardom – which will make him some cash.
One thing is for sure, yesterday is a marker in the election. It may not have been won or lost, but it was most certainly defined. Obama has now abandoned all pretext of moderation. That dear friends is the ultimate flip-flop given how he ran last time.
Closing With An “I Told You So”
I said on Saturday that Tagg Romney’s children by surrogacy would be an issue in some circles. I was right. Given that Obama is trying to put the election on social issues, this will grow.
Posted in Political Strategy, Reading List | 4 Comments » |
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