Is The “Erosion” Real?, and more…
Yesterday, we looked at “The Ongoing Erosion of The Religious Conservative Voter’s Voice in 2008.” We discussed conservative Evangelicals that were “shooting themselves in the foot.” Seeming, initially, to refute our claim was a post at First Things by J. Daryl Charles. In reality; however, Mr. Charles is combating the NYTimes, not us:
In this hour of “new day” presidential politicking, it is difficult to distinguish prophecy from wishful thinking, especially among those in the electronic and print media. Take, for example, the purported radical shift in alignment among religious conservatives that was reported as a cover story in the New York Times Magazine in October 2007. Under the definitive title “The Evangelical Crackup,” David D. Kirkpatrick announced that the “conservative Christian political movement” today shows signs of “coming apart beneath its leaders.” And this, we were told, when “just three years ago,” by Kirkpatrick’s reckoning, “the leaders of this movement could almost see the Promised Land.”
Lowell and I were just talking about mistakes made by Evangelical leadership (well, in Dobson’s case; I doubt Keller could lead a parade in progress), Mr. Charles is refuting a somewhat twisted narrative that is making the round concerning Evangelical shifts. The real heart of Charles’ argument is:
Conspicuously absent from Kirkpatrick’s reporting, a genre that rests on the perpetuation of false or exaggerated stereotypes, are several inconvenient facts. First, it ignores the remarkable—and seldom reported—diversity among evangelicals on matters social and political. Those of us who teach at the university level cannot help but be impressed by the current generation of young evangelicals, who possess a remarkably sensitized social conscience that is far more diversified and progressive than evangelicals of a previous generation. This development, it needs reiteration, has been measurable since the 1980s and is both heartening and to be encouraged. To describe this as a “recent” phenomenon or a “desertion” of traditional priorities or a major leftward political shift, as Kirkpatrick does, is pure fiction. Kirkpatrick need only consult a recent Pew study that reports “a small increase in the number of Democrats” that is coupled with an increase in the number of “independents and politically unaffiliated Americans.”
I think what is going on may be a bit more complicated. “Evangelical” was originally a theological term describing a particular approach to Protestant Christianity. The press really did pick it up to mean something along the lines of “Idiot redneck believers too stupid to understand things so they vote dogmatically.” There have always been liberal voices inside Evangelicalism, but they could not get press attention. Now they can — largely, it would appear to me, because the Democrats have identified religious voters as important to their efforts.
But also, missteps by conservative Evangelical leadership, like those Lowell and I discussed yesterday, have served to energize the Evangelical left. Which brings us back to identity politics. People that identify as part of your group, in this case Evangelicals, but who are told either explicitly or implicitly, that they are not “really” a part are going to get ticked off. So, in this case, when Evangelicals have allowed the press to define Evangelicals in this way, and in so doing sent either an implicit or in some cases explicit, message that you had to be conservative politically to be Evangelical, well you can count on the Evangelical left to respond - strongly.
That’s what happens when you make a theologically defined group political. United in your differences simply becomes divided. That is what is going on here.
Speaking Of The Evangelical Left . . .
. . . Their chief spokesperson, Jim Wallis, appears to have been caught in a bit of an embarrassing “flip-flop” himself.
On his blog yesterday, the liberal evangelical Jim Wallis, reacting to comments made about Barack Obama by Focus on the Family’s James Dobson and Tom Minnery, said this:
Dobson and Minnery’s language is simply inappropriate for religious leaders to use in an already divisive political campaign. We can agree or disagree on both biblical and political viewpoints, but our language should be respectful and civil, not attacking motives and beliefs.
I agree with Wallis about the need for civility and respectful language. I wonder, then, what Wallis would say about these aspersions, made by a professing Christian not long ago:
I believe that Dick Cheney is a liar; that Donald Rumsfeld is also a liar; and that George W. Bush was, and is, clueless about how to be the president of the United States. And this isn’t about being partisan… I’ve heard plenty of my Republican friends and public figures call this administration an embarrassment to the best traditions of the Republican Party and an embarrassment to the democratic (small d) tradition of the United States. They have shamed our beloved nation in the world by this war and the shameful way they have fought it. Almost 4,000 young Americans are dead because of the lies of this administration, tens of thousands more wounded and maimed for life, hundreds of thousands of Iraqis also dead, and 400 billion dollars wasted—because of their lies, incompetence, and corruption.
But I don’t favor impeachment, as some have suggested. I would wait until after the election, when they are out of office, and then I would favor investigations of the top officials of the Bush administration on official deception, war crimes, and corruption charges. And if they are found guilty of these high crimes, I believe they should spend the rest of their lives in prison - after offering their repentance to every American family who has lost a son, daughter, father, mother, brother, or sister. Deliberately lying about going to war should not be forgiven.
It turns out that these disrespectful and uncivil words, attacking motivations, came from … Jim Wallis, back in November. How terribly inconvenient for Wallis.
Says my friend and fellow-blogger Rick Moore:
A lefty is a lefty is a lefty. It really doesn’t matter what their faith, or lack thereof. They are interested only in the advancement of their political causes, and past statements cease to become “operable” the moment they are uttered.
‘Nuff Said!
Now, About McCain . . .
If Christian conservatives stay on the sidelines during the fall campaign, presidential hopeful John McCain probably stays in the Senate.
Christian conservatives provided much of the on-the-ground, door-to-door activity for President Bush’s 2004 re-election in Ohio and in other swing states. Without them, the less-organized and lower-profile McCain campaign is likely to struggle to replicate Bush’s success. And so far, there’s been scant sign that the Republican nominee-in-waiting is making inroads among these fervent believers.
Not a bad analysis, and it points out the problem when you back yourself in a corner a la Dobson. Not voting for McCain is voting for Obama. With McCain we may not get what we want. With Obama, we will undoubtedly get much that we flat-out oppose. BIG difference, that. Worth thinking about, is it not?
Lowell adds: I will point to my favorite reason for not staying home and sulking on election day: The U.S. Supreme Court.
Today the Court held, in the Heller case, that the Washington, D.C. ban on handguns is unconstitutional - by a single vote, 5-4. We were one vote away from a decision that would have lasted for the rest of this Republic’s history saying that an entire city can declare itself off-limits to handguns.
One vote.
Just a few days ago in the Boumediene case, the Court held, 5-4, that enemy combatants have habeas corpus rights. We’ll be living with that decision for a long, long time. By one vote, the Court gave al-Quaeda members greater rights for crimes on the battlefield than American soldiers have.
One vote.
Back in 2000, in Boy Scouts of America v. Dale, the Supreme Court decided that the Constitution gave the Scouts the right to exclude openly gay men from serving as Scoutmasters. What was the vote? Yes, 5-4 again.
One vote.
If John McCain is president, he may well appoint some Supreme Court justices of whom I will disapprove– but he has promised to appoint justices like Roberts and Alito. But if Barack Obama becomes president, we are guaranteed to have justices appointed who will vote like the four dissenting justices in Dale, or the five majority justices in Boumediene.
And they will be on the Court for decades.
So if you are sitting at home, upset that John McCain was rough on Mitt Romney, or unhappy that he does not respect Evangelicals; and you’re thinking that you’ll sit this election out, so that in 2012 a conservative can rise up like Ronald Reagan did; ask yourself: Even if you are right and history does repeat itself that way, how long will it take to undo the damage? Obama’s appointees will be on the Supreme Court until long after “the next Ronald Reagan” has left office.
Don’t shoot yourself in the foot. Vote for a candidate who can win and who will appoint justices who won’t damage the Constitution.
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4 Responses to “Is The “Erosion” Real?, and more…”
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TVHall on 27 Jun 2008 at 3:10 pm #
If “Not voting for McCain is voting for Obama,” doesn’t it follow that not voting for Obama is voting for McCain? If not, why not? While I can agree with the logic behind your argument in favor of voting for McCain, I’m afraid McCain’s recent actions provide no evidence to support some of your suppositions, especially with respect to judicial nominations.
I respect your decision to cast your lot in the manner you’ve laid out. However, my analysis of McCain is that he is manifestly unfit for the office of President. In that regard, he is no different from Obama. While he definitely achieves that status in a much different manner than Obama, the final destination is still the same.
While I will be voting for the best candidate possible in all the other races in November, there is currently no candidate for President that has earned my support. Given the indirect method for electing the President, and my state of residency, all this is a bit academic anyway.
coltakashi on 27 Jun 2008 at 3:40 pm #
Thanks for Lowell’s reminder that, in the general elections, we are picking not jest a president but an entire political party to run the Executive Branch. That party will take over the leadership of the Defense, State, Energy, Housing, Education, Interior, Homeland Security, Treasury, etc. departments. Those bureaucracies have tremendous power over our lives, and the ability of courts to restrain them is very limited. Whatever the imperfections in one’s party’s nominee, it is most often the case that what we get in the Executive Branch is directly determined by which party is in power.
Now, I personally fault President Bush for leaving Rumsfeld in office a bit too long, and for giving a liberal lightweight like Christine Todd Whitman the EPA to play with. She did nothing there to give direction to the agency to redirect its rampaging bureaucrats, and used her pulpit to criticize Bush. Surely there are real Conservatives who are also expert in what EPA does and would not be reliant on the buraucracy to tell him or her what the issues are and how he or she should decide. But no.
Dirk Kempthorne, former governor of Idaho, leads Interior, but his decision to list the polar bear as “threatened” at the time of its highest population in history, based on a predicted threat that won’t come to fruition for 40 years, is suicidal for the Federal government. His claim that a couple of regulatory findings will keep Federal district court judges from using the Endangered Species Act as a bludgeon to impose limits on the greenhouse gases emitted by military ships and planes and tanks in the US and Iraq is simply naive. He has opened Pandora’s Box.
The Endangered Species Act is the most Procrustean statute in America, and has been held by the Supreme Court not to allow any considerations of social or economic cost or balancing to stand in its way. What a perfect instrument for the Natural Resources Defense Council to use to hack away at Americans’ freedom, in the service of the amorphous, invisible, and future god of global warming, which is still as uncertain and mysterious in its arrival date as the Second Coming of Christ.
Of course, once Obama is president, he will use the polar bear and other cold climate species as his authority to govern the air we breath, the food we eat, how far we can drive, and how warm we can keep our homes. Republicans can do things that are venal and dumb, but Democrats want to do those things because they think they are virtuous. Democrats have created a different standard of sin and virtue, derived from worship for the ideal of an Earth without mankind. Global warming is just the latest excuse for pushing America toward that condition, from a citizenry that is growing and prolific to one that is shrinking and poor, while those in the elite among the powerful are exempted, due to their virtue (e.g. Al Gore), from having to participate in the deprivation. It is the ethic of Soviet communism all over again, deriving from a belief in the inherent evil of natural human desires for material wellbeing, instead of from a belief in inexorable forces of social and economic development, down to and including the self-exempting hypocritical elites.
SGS on 28 Jun 2008 at 7:32 pm #
Lowell, yes McCain has promised to appoint the judges of the likes of Roberts and Alitos. But the big question here is, can he follow through? Do recall that McCain manage to get wrong kind of friends around him as often as he does with the right kind of friends. Also, have you forgotten that both houses in the US Capitol is very likely to be in a complete controls of the Democratic Party? McCain has shown since 2000 that he is more willing to “compromise” his stances when it comes to Democrats than he has with his party peers. It is very likely that McCain will come up with “compromised” judges, more in the model of Kennedys or worse. And then he will tell us he has fought a good fight, but those judges were the best he could get. Do not think we will be able to create noise like we did with Harriet. Bush was generous with letting us know in advance who he is appointing, as opposite to McCain ramping down our throat his immigration bill (among others). I am sorry, but I do not think McCain would follow through his promise on constructional (sp?) judges.
TVHall on 30 Jun 2008 at 2:16 pm #
If you believe that John McCain is “a candidate who can win and who will appoint justices who won’t damage the Constitution,” then you certainly should vote for him. But what if you don’t believe this to be the case? Is this a fringe or extreme position?
I can understand the logic behind a vote for McCain as a vote against Obama. I am even very close to applying that logic myself. However, much of what McCain has done recently as a Senator gives me pause.
This has nothing to do with his treatment of Romney during the primaries, which was mostly standard fare for a campaign. But I find myself in a real dilemma. In spite the need to keep Obama from making Supreme Court nominations, I’m just not convinced that McCain would do any better, especially with both houses of Congress run by Democrats.
I take my civic responsibility to vote very seriously, and will absolutely be voting in the down-ticket races. But this is the most difficulty I’ve had, by far, in choosing where to place my vote for President. Currently, “None of the Above” seems the best option. Only time will tell if it prevails. Romney on the ticket would be enough to tip the scale in McCain’s favor. Otherwise, I cannot adequately express the deep sense of foreboding this choice fills me with.