What We Don’t Know
Last Friday I went on a bit of a rant arguing that everybody keeps saying that Romney’s religious affiliation is an issue without much evidence to that effect. Given the very heavy readership (courtesy Hugh Hewitt) I am somewhat surprised that no one has challenged my statement that we don’t have much evidence. (Lowell wondered about it in a private communication!) So, I want to lay out what we do and do not know.
First we have the LATimes/Bloomberg poll with it’s now widely quoted 37% “will not vote for” number. Then there is the RunMittRun.com South Carolina poll that sets the “will not vote” number at 33%. That’s about it, and that is somewhat woefully inadequate to conclude that Romney’s CJCLDS affiliation is a significant issue.
Both Powerline and Kathryn Jean Lopez on National Review Online have analyzed the LATimes/Bloomberg poll and determined the data is insignificant to conclude that Romney has a problem. Lowell and I have seen the questions from the RMR poll and they are very similar.
I’m not sure I have much of a point to make here beyond those I have already made, I just thought I ought to anticipate the objection and pull together the resources I have to defend myself.
Technorati Tags: polling. Mormon, Romney, Powerline, NRO, issues, evidence
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